Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.155479 9.036258 9.996755 11.126100 12.422885 13.871551 15.620983
2025-12-14 6.636039 7.730602 9.003917 10.608086 12.594204 14.997806 18.165728
2025-12-21 5.833316 7.026814 8.477239 10.394127 12.898122 16.111317 20.635899
2025-12-28 5.734752 7.128827 8.894731 11.339239 14.706314 19.291219 26.208042
2026-01-04 5.393467 6.868494 8.797922 11.568140 15.549888 21.242528 30.344324
2026-01-11 4.937682 6.406470 8.376326 11.287202 15.616242 22.056064 32.863122
2026-01-18 4.730931 6.257585 8.358860 11.559387 16.495452 24.161221 37.733746
2026-01-25 4.411275 5.922909 8.046193 11.358699 16.618634 25.078833 40.740028
2026-02-01 4.145546 5.643435 7.787288 11.207565 16.790212 26.075799 44.027029
2026-02-08 3.900630 5.376071 7.523783 11.020548 16.874037 26.918420 47.149555
2026-02-15 3.668870 5.112561 7.246015 10.783693 16.843192 27.543514 49.937985
2026-02-22 3.504039 4.938459 7.091536 10.730417 17.115482 28.739750 54.096802
2026-03-01 3.265237 4.644939 6.742713 10.344713 16.794233 28.843266 56.081267
2026-03-08 3.026572 4.339607 6.358029 9.871139 16.272350 28.503628 57.038882
2026-03-15 2.867958 4.150022 6.146113 9.675920 16.241260 29.126807 60.352963
2026-03-22 2.934594 4.318010 6.522799 10.537794 18.298713 34.326223 76.143167
2026-03-29 2.869301 4.269331 6.535859 10.746259 19.102977 36.985530 86.177226
2026-04-05 2.725237 4.084359 6.307163 10.490387 18.939114 37.452168 90.239645
2026-04-12 2.678450 4.057175 6.346220 10.738290 19.843865 40.527309 102.869700
2026-04-19 2.563353 3.909918 6.167722 10.555520 19.811926 41.353601 108.802651
2026-04-26 2.463110 3.783088 6.018187 10.417827 19.863692 42.395761 115.781267
2026-05-03 2.364206 3.654111 5.857979 10.247377 19.825319 43.204084 122.239205
2026-05-10 2.264524 3.519599 5.681102 10.031400 19.663033 43.666934 127.637504